12.17.25

Written by Chase Majerus

The housing market finally took a breath

The holidays are here, the housing market is cooling off, and for once… that’s not a bad thing. Prices are easing, investors are tightening their belts, and the real estate world is quietly entering its “let’s all take a breath” era.

This week we’re talking about what happens when things finally slow down, why 2026 might reward patience over panic, and how being financially ready beats trying to time the market, all while someone, somewhere, is still trying to turn a mansion into a museum.

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It Finally Happened: U.S. Home Prices Are Going Backward

(from CNBC.com)

For the first time in more than two years, U.S. home prices have slipped into negative territory.

New data from Parcl Labs shows prices are down 1.4% over the last three months, a sign the red-hot housing market is finally losing momentum. This comes after mortgage rates jumped from under 4% in 2022 to just over 7%, creating what researchers call an “affordability shock” that pushed many buyers out.

Inventory is slowly rebuilding, with active listings up nearly 13% year over year, but new listings are barely rising, meaning sellers are still hesitant to move. The result is not a crash, but a stall. Some markets like Austin and Denver are seeing noticeable price drops, while others like New York and Chicago are still climbing.

As one analyst put it, the market is entering a period where prices “hover around zero” instead of rising automatically. This mean that buyers are getting leverage back, sellers need to price realistically, and mortgage rates are now the main thing steering the market.

Read more here

Major Manor

The Michael Jordan "Champions Point" Experience

Michael Jordan’s former Chicago mansion is back in the headlines… again. The new owner wants to turn the iconic estate into a Graceland-style tourist attraction called Champions Point, and the idea is already dividing the neighborhood. The home of the GOAT:

  • 56,000-square-foot estate on 7.4 acres in Highland Park, Illinois
  • Purchased by Michael Jordan in 1991 for $2 million and listed in 2012 for $29 million
  • Sold in December 2024 for $9.5 million after more than a decade on and off the market
  • 9 bedrooms, 16 bathrooms
  • Regulation-size indoor basketball court, outdoor tennis court, pool, massive gym
  • Movie theater, poker room, gourmet chef’s kitchen
  • Iconic gated entrance with Jordan’s number 23

The proposed plan would open the home to the public as an immersive, motivational museum focused on “experiencing greatness,” complete with guided tours and educational programming. Neighbors are split between seeing a once-in-a-lifetime tribute to an NBA legend and fearing their quiet neighborhood turning into a tourist circus.

Because even retired GOATs apparently can’t leave a normal house behind.

See home here or learn about Champions Point Project here

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Financial Fitness

Why 2026 Isn't About Perfect Timing, It's About Readiness

Not a boom. Not a crash. A slow thaw.

After reading Housingwire articles HERE, HERE, and HERE, most 2026 forecasts point to the same outcome. Home prices are expected to stay mostly flat, rising roughly 0% to 0.5% nationally, while inventory continues to rebuild gradually after years of extreme scarcity. Mortgage rates are expected to hover in the mid-6% range, removing the hope of quick relief but also bringing more predictability back into the market.

Affordability is improving, but unevenly. In many parts of the South and West, where supply has grown and sellers have reset expectations, buyers are regaining leverage. In much of the Northeast and Midwest, tight inventory continues to keep prices elevated.

But nationally, incomes have begun to outpace price growth, allowing affordability to recover slowly without a major price correction.

At the same time, demand is returning for reasons that have little to do with rates. Life events, marriage, divorce, children, job changes, downsizing, are quietly pushing people back into the market after years of delay. Nearly 4 million home sales never happened between 2022 and 2025, creating a backlog of moves that can’t be postponed forever. With more than 50 million Americans now in their 30s, household formation and mobility are becoming unavoidable.

Inventory is responding, but cautiously. More homeowners are realizing that waiting for ultra-low mortgage rates to return may not be realistic.

As the share of homeowners with mortgages above 6% grows, the rate lock-in effect continues to loosen. This is allowing more homes to come to market, not in a flood, but steadily enough to matter.

The result is a market defined less by headlines and more by personal timing. Sales are expected to rise modestly in 2026, inventory should increase around 5%, and prices are stabilizing rather than climbing aggressively. Luxury housing is likely to remain resilient, while mid-priced homes see the most activity as affordability slowly improves.

So why does financial fitness matter more in this market??

In a housing market built around gradual change and life-driven decisions, financial clarity becomes the real advantage. Knowing your cash flow, debt, savings, and long-term goals makes it easier to act confidently when the timing is right.

That’s where S1 FinFit comes in. It helps you understand where you stand financially so you’re prepared for opportunities, or changes, whenever they show up, instead of reacting under pressure.

2026 may not bring a breakout housing market. But for people who are financially ready, it could finally bring forward momentum.

Turn Chaos Spending Into a Remix

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Digital financial assistant at your fingertips

S1 FinFit is a FREE app that provides a roadmap to help you reach your financial and lifestyle goals, no matter how big or small! Free credit monitoring with alerts, set financial goals, create budgets, and keep track of your spending to see where your money is going.

Download the app on the appropriate app store with the links below!

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Home Flipping Profits Are the Worst They've Been Since 2008

(from National Mortgage News)

Home flipping is no longer the easy money play it once was. According to new data from Attom, profit margins on flipped homes fell to 23.1% in Q3, the lowest level since 2008.

Just a year ago, margins were closer to 30%, and during the post-2009 boom, flips regularly returned 40% to 60%.

The slowdown is showing up everywhere. Investors flipped 72,217 homes last quarter, down 9%from Q2 and nearly 5% year over year. Gross profits also shrank, with the median flip netting about $60,000, down from $73,600 a year ago. Attom’s CEO summed it up plainly, saying “the game has fundamentally changed.”

Location now matters more than ever. Investors in Austin, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio saw razor-thin returns between 4% and 6%, while places like Pittsburgh and Buffalo posted eye-popping margins north of 90%. Even more telling, investors flipping homes bought for $50,000 or less actually lost money, while the best returns came from mid-priced homes between $100,000 and $300,000.

The takeaway is simple. Flipping is no longer a volume game. It is a precision game. Cheap deals are not guaranteed wins, margins are tighter, and picking the right market matters more now than at any point in the last decade.

Read more here

Google Just Stepped Into the Home Search Wars

(from Housingwire.com)

Google is officially testing its way into real estate search and it’s already rattling the industry.

In select cities like Chicago, Denver, and Austin, Google is embedding MLS-powered home listings directly into mobile search results, letting users view property details, request tours, or contact a buyer’s agent without ever visiting a traditional housing portal.

The listings are powered through a paid partnership with ComeHome, a subsidiary of HouseCanary, which has MLS access as a licensed brokerage. Notably, Google makes it clear that these listings are “not supplied or sponsored by listing agents or brokers,” signaling that this product is geared more toward buyers than sellers.

This move has long been considered a “tail risk” for major portals and the market reacted quickly. Stocks for companies like Zillow and CoStar dropped following the news, though analysts note Zillow’s strong brand and direct traffic may help cushion the blow. CoStar’s Homes.com could feel more pressure since its model focuses heavily on listing-agent advertising. Redfin, now owned by Rocket, may also see some long-term traffic impact, though analysts believe Rocket still has plenty of room to monetize its audience.

The big question is whether Google sticks with it. The company has tested real estate tools before without committing long term. But if this experiment scales, it could quietly reshape how buyers find homes and who controls that first click.

Read more here

Vlog

Home Buying Budget in 10 Seconds

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This week, Tony Andrews, Loan Officer and Branch Manager, breaks down a fast, no-stress way to estimate your home-buying budget before you ever talk to a lender. It’s not about perfection. It’s about clarity.

Tony’s 10-second rule starts with a simple monthly payment gut check. As a rough guide, every $10,000 in home price equals about $80 per month in total housing cost. So if a $2,400 monthly payment feels comfortable, that points to a home price around $300,000. Quick math. No spreadsheet required.

From there, Tony explains the lender side using the 28/36 rule. Ideally, your monthly housing costs stay under 28 percent of your gross income, and your total monthly debt stays under 36 percent. For example, on an $8,000 monthly income, lenders typically want housing costs under $2,240 and total debt under $2,880.

The key reminder is that these are starting points, not final answers. Your down payment, closing costs, utilities, maintenance, and long-term comfort all matter just as much as the loan itself.

If you want help turning quick math into a real plan, just ask Tony.

Watch the Tony Andrews video here

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